Carmarthen Town 59%Draw 21%Ynyshir Albions 20%Expected goals 2.05 – 1.13
80%
Betarazi pick
Carmarthen Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceCarmarthen Town or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ynyshir Albions travel to face Carmarthen Town on Saturday 12 September in the FAW Championship, with Richmond Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Carmarthen Town are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Ynyshir Albions are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Carmarthen Town, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Trethomas Bluebirds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Ynyshir Albions, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Afan Lido, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carmarthen Town 2.1 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carmarthen Town 59%, draw 21%, Ynyshir Albions 20%.
Lower-risk option: Carmarthen Town or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carmarthen Town or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carmarthen Town 2–1 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carmarthen Town59%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
Ynyshir Albions20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
3.19Expected goals
2.05Carmarthen Town xG
1.13Ynyshir Albions xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 2.1 – 1.1 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Carmarthen Town or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Carmarthen Town (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Ynyshir Albions +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Carmarthen Town to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Carmarthen Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Carmarthen Town – last 6
LDLWWW
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
14 Aug
vs Afan Lido
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Newport City
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
4–3
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
DWLDWL
31 Aug
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Caerau (Ely)
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Cardiff Draconians
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Carmarthen Town or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ynyshir Albions 20%.
How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Carmarthen Town 2–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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