Porthmadog v Llanuwchllyn Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPorthmadog to win ✓69% · @1.36

Double chancePorthmadog or draw ✓88% · @1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.49

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Porthmadog v Llanuwchllyn in the FAW Championship. In the table, Porthmadog are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 14 matches; Llanuwchllyn are 11th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Porthmadog, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guilsfield, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Llanuwchllyn, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Denbigh Town, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Porthmadog, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Llanuwchllyn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Porthmadog 2.5 xG, Llanuwchllyn 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Porthmadog 69%, draw 19%, Llanuwchllyn 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.49.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Porthmadog to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porthmadog 2–1 Llanuwchllyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Porthmadog69%fair 1.46 · @1.36

Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.70

Llanuwchllyn12%fair 8.02 · @5.75

3.53Expected goals

2.50Porthmadog xG

1.02Llanuwchllyn xG

61%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

2–09%

3–18%

3–08%

1–18%

1–07%

From our goals model: Porthmadog 2.5 – 1.0 Llanuwchllyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Porthmadog to win ✓	69%	1.46	1.36
Double chance	Porthmadog or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.06
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.64	1.49
Draw no bet	Porthmadog (draw no bet) ✓	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	Porthmadog -1 (Asian handicap)	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.46	1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.32
First team to score	Porthmadog to score first ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Porthmadog ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.93	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog ✗	47%	2.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.61	–

Porthmadog – last 6

DLLWWW

31 Oct	@ Guilsfield	2–2	D
24 Oct	vs Brickfield Rangers	0–1	L
16 Oct	@ GAP Connah S Quay FC	0–4	L
10 Oct	@ Gresford Athletic	1–0	W
3 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Newtown AFC	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Llanuwchllyn – last 6

LDLWLL

31 Oct	vs Denbigh Town	3–4	L
24 Oct	vs Bala Town	3–3	D
17 Oct	@ Newtown AFC	0–7	L
10 Oct	vs Penrhyncoch	4–1	W
3 Oct	@ Guilsfield	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Caersws	2–5	L

2.0Scored / game

3.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn?

Our pick is Porthmadog to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn?

On our numbers Porthmadog have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Llanuwchllyn 12%.

How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn?

Our predicted score is Porthmadog 2–1 Llanuwchllyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn?

Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Porthmadog v Llanuwchllyn: numbers & prediction