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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carmarthen Town v Aberystwyth Town: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Richmond Park
0–4
FT
Carmarthen Town 23%Draw 16%Aberystwyth Town 61% Expected goals 1.27 – 2.22
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.49Odds

Picks by market

ResultAberystwyth Town to win ✓61% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.49
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carmarthen Town welcome Aberystwyth Town to Richmond Park for a FAW Championship fixture on Saturday 7 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Carmarthen Town are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Aberystwyth Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Carmarthen Town, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pontardawe Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Aberystwyth Town, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trethomas Bluebirds, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Aberystwyth Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carmarthen Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carmarthen Town 1.3 xG, Aberystwyth Town 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carmarthen Town 23%, draw 16%, Aberystwyth Town 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.49.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carmarthen Town 1–2 Aberystwyth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carmarthen Town23%fair 4.30 · @3.78
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.92
Aberystwyth Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.66
3.50Expected goals
1.27Carmarthen Town xG
2.22Aberystwyth Town xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 1.3 – 2.2 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAberystwyth Town to win ✓61%1.641.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.49
Draw no betAberystwyth Town (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapCarmarthen Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.341.19
First team to scoreAberystwyth Town to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultAberystwyth Town ahead at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Carmarthen Town – last 6

LLLDLW
31 Oct@ Pontardawe Town1–2L
23 Octvs Caerphilly Athletic1–3L
17 Octvs Newport City4–5L
10 Oct@ Cardiff Draconians2–2D
2 Octvs Llantwit Major1–2L
25 Sep@ Baglan Dragons2–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Aberystwyth Town – last 6

WWLWDW
31 Octvs Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
17 Octvs Prestatyn Town5–1W
10 Octvs Caerau (Ely)0–1L
3 Oct@ Pontypridd Town3–1W
25 Sepvs Swansea University0–0D
12 Sep@ Caerphilly Athletic3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Aberystwyth Town 61%.

How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our predicted score is Carmarthen Town 1–2 Aberystwyth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.