Trethomas Bluebirds 56%Draw 20%Llantwit Major 24%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.30
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗56% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the FAW Championship brings Trethomas Bluebirds against Llantwit Major. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aberystwyth Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Llantwit Major, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Newport City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 xG, Llantwit Major 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 56%, draw 20%, Llantwit Major 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trethomas Bluebirds56%fair 1.78 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.88
Llantwit Major24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
3.38Expected goals
2.08Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.30Llantwit Major xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win✗
56%
1.78
1.78
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Trethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Llantwit Major +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.56
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.19
First team to score
Trethomas Bluebirds to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Trethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6
LWLWLD
31 Oct
@ Aberystwyth Town
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
16 Oct
@ Cambrian & Clydach
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Treowen Stars
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Pontardawe Town
2–3
L
26 Sep
@ Ynyshir Albions
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 6
LWLDLW
31 Oct
vs Newport City
2–3
L
23 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Trefelin
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Pontardawe Town
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
2 Oct
@ Carmarthen Town
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Llantwit Major 24%.
How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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