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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Afan Lido v Llantwit Major: numbers & prediction

5–0
FT
Afan Lido 44%Draw 24%Llantwit Major 33% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.81
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultAfan Lido to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Friday 7 August: Afan Lido v Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Afan Lido, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Aberystwyth Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Llantwit Major, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Swansea University, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Afan Lido 4–1 Llantwit Major.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 2.2 xG, Llantwit Major 1.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 44%, draw 24%, Llantwit Major 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 2–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afan Lido44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Llantwit Major33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
4.03Expected goals
2.22Afan Lido xG
1.81Llantwit Major xG
65%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Afan Lido 2.2 – 1.8 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Afan LidoLlantwit Major
Attack vs FAW Championship average-2%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+7%
Our expected goals here1.891.41

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAfan Lido to win ✓44%2.302.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.55
Draw no betAfan Lido (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapLlantwit Major +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
First team to scoreAfan Lido to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultAfan Lido ahead at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Afan Lido / FT Afan Lido ✓30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.63–

Recent results

Afan Lido – last 6

LWWWLW
1 Augvs Aberystwyth Town2–5L
3 Aprvs Cwmbran Celtic4–1W
23 Mar@ Treowen Stars1–0W
20 Marvs Llantwit Major4–1W
13 Marvs Cambrian & Clydach0–4L
1 Marvs Ammanford AFC3–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Llantwit Major – last 6

LLWWWW
1 Augvs Swansea University0–3L
20 Mar@ Afan Lido1–4L
10 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic3–1W
6 Mar@ Pontypridd Town4–0W
3 Marvs Treowen Stars3–2W
24 Feb@ Ynyshir Albions3–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Afan Lido v Llantwit Major4–1
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

On our numbers Afan Lido have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Llantwit Major 33%.

How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Our predicted score is Afan Lido 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.