Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✗57% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 7 August: Caerau (Ely) v Ynyshir Albions in the FAW Championship. In the table, Caerau (Ely) are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Ynyshir Albions are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caerau (Ely), last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Carmarthen Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Ynyshir Albions, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cardiff Draconians, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caerau (Ely) 2.0 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.5 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caerau (Ely) 57%, draw 21%, Ynyshir Albions 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caerau (Ely)57%fair 1.77 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.80
Ynyshir Albions22%fair 4.53 · @8.00
3.55Expected goals
2.02Caerau (Ely) xG
1.54Ynyshir Albions xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–06%
From our goals model: Caerau (Ely) 2.0 – 1.5 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Caerau (Ely)
Ynyshir Albions
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-1%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.66
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caerau (Ely) to win✗
57%
1.77
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Caerau (Ely) (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Ynyshir Albions +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
Caerau (Ely) to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Caerau (Ely) ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely)✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Caerau (Ely) – last 6
LDLLWD
1 Aug
@ Carmarthen Town
3–4
L
25 Jul
vs Barnstaple Town
4–4
D
21 Jul
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Evesham United
0–2
L
3 Jul
vs Croesyceiliog AFC
5–1
W
30 Jun
vs Cardiff Corinthians
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 5
WLWLL
1 Aug
vs Cardiff Draconians
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–4
L
6 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Llantwit Major
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Trefelin
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caerau (Ely) and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Caerau (Ely) have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ynyshir Albions 22%.
How many goals will there be in Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?
Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
