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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

llanelli AFC v Trethomas Bluebirds: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Stebonheath Park
1–1
FT
llanelli AFC 31%Draw 20%Trethomas Bluebirds 49% Expected goals 1.28 – 2.10
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41

llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trethomas Bluebirds travel to face llanelli AFC on Friday 7 August in the FAW Championship, with Stebonheath Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th (upper half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Newport City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baglan Dragons, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Trethomas Bluebirds, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for llanelli AFC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.3 xG, Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 31%, draw 20%, Trethomas Bluebirds 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

llanelli AFC31%fair 3.26 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Trethomas Bluebirds49%fair 2.02 · @2.05
3.38Expected goals
1.28llanelli AFC xG
2.10Trethomas Bluebirds xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.3 – 2.1 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

llanelli AFCTrethomas Bluebirds
Attack vs FAW Championship average-36%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+54%+5%
Our expected goals here1.212.83

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗49%2.022.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betTrethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapllanelli AFC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreTrethomas Bluebirds to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultTrethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

llanelli AFC – last 6

LLLLDL
31 Julvs Newport City1–4L
3 Aprvs Bala Town0–5L
20 Marvs Cardiff MET1–2L
13 Marvs Briton Ferry0–2L
27 Feb@ Bala Town0–0D
20 Febvs Haverfordwest County AFC0–1L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6

DLWWLL
31 Julvs Baglan Dragons0–0D
14 Jul@ Barry Town1–5L
20 Marvs Pontypridd Town4–2W
9 Marvs Newport City1–0W
6 Marvs Carmarthen Town4–5L
1 Mar@ Cambrian & Clydach2–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Trethomas Bluebirds.

llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trethomas Bluebirds 49%.

How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.