llanelli AFC 31%Draw 20%Trethomas Bluebirds 49%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.10
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trethomas Bluebirds travel to face llanelli AFC on Friday 7 August in the FAW Championship, with Stebonheath Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th (upper half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Newport City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baglan Dragons, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Trethomas Bluebirds, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for llanelli AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.3 xG, Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 31%, draw 20%, Trethomas Bluebirds 49%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
llanelli AFC31%fair 3.26 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Trethomas Bluebirds49%fair 2.02 · @2.05
3.38Expected goals
1.28llanelli AFC xG
2.10Trethomas Bluebirds xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.3 – 2.1 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
llanelli AFC
Trethomas Bluebirds
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-36%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+54%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.21
2.83
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win✗
49%
2.02
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Trethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
llanelli AFC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Trethomas Bluebirds to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Trethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLDL
31 Jul
vs Newport City
1–4
L
3 Apr
vs Bala Town
0–5
L
20 Mar
vs Cardiff MET
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Bala Town
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6
DLWWLL
31 Jul
vs Baglan Dragons
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ Barry Town
1–5
L
20 Mar
vs Pontypridd Town
4–2
W
9 Mar
vs Newport City
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Carmarthen Town
4–5
L
1 Mar
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Trethomas Bluebirds.
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trethomas Bluebirds 49%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.