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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cardiff Draconians v Pontypridd Town: numbers & prediction

Cardiff Draconians 39%Draw 21%Pontypridd Town 40% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.38
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPontypridd Town to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the FAW Championship brings Cardiff Draconians against Pontypridd Town. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cardiff Draconians, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Caerphilly Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pontypridd Town, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pontardawe Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cardiff Draconians.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.4 xG, Pontypridd Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 39%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cardiff Draconians39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Pontypridd Town40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
2.75Expected goals
1.37Cardiff Draconians xG
1.38Pontypridd Town xG
64%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.4 – 1.4 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPontypridd Town to win ✓40%2.532.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.44
Draw no betPontypridd Town (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
First team to scorePontypridd Town to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Cardiff Draconians – last 6

DLWLLL
7 Aug@ Caerphilly Athletic0–0D
1 Aug@ Ynyshir Albions0–1L
24 Marvs Ynyshir Albions4–1W
6 Mar@ Ammanford AFC1–2L
4 Mar@ Trefelin1–3L
21 Feb@ Treowen Stars0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pontypridd Town – last 6

WWLLWL
7 Augvs Pontardawe Town3–2W
1 Aug@ Treowen Stars3–2W
27 Marvs Trefelin1–3L
20 Mar@ Trethomas Bluebirds2–4L
17 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic5–2W
6 Marvs Llantwit Major0–4L
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Pontypridd Town.

Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town?

On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pontypridd Town 40%.

How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town?

Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town?

Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.