Ynyshir Albions v Aberystwyth Town Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAberystwyth Town to win45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.16

Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Ynyshir Albions v Aberystwyth Town in the FAW Championship. In the table, Ynyshir Albions are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Aberystwyth Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Ynyshir Albions, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caerau (Ely), away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Aberystwyth Town, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Treowen Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ynyshir Albions 1.5 xG, Aberystwyth Town 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ynyshir Albions 33%, draw 21%, Aberystwyth Town 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ynyshir Albions 1–1 Aberystwyth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ynyshir Albions33%fair 2.99 · @2.90

Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.25

Aberystwyth Town45%fair 2.22 · @2.05

3.25Expected goals

1.49Ynyshir Albions xG

1.76Aberystwyth Town xG

63%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

2–27%

0–26%

From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 1.5 – 1.8 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Aberystwyth Town to win	45%	2.22	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	63%	1.58	1.57
Draw no bet	Aberystwyth Town (draw no bet)	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Ynyshir Albions +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	77%	1.30	–
First team to score	Aberystwyth Town to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	38%	2.65	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town	27%	3.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	11.16	–

Ynyshir Albions – last 6

DWLWLL

7 Aug	@ Caerau (Ely)	1–1	D
1 Aug	vs Cardiff Draconians	1–0	W
24 Mar	@ Cardiff Draconians	1–4	L
6 Mar	@ Cwmbran Celtic	3–1	W
24 Feb	vs Llantwit Major	2–3	L
20 Feb	@ Trefelin	0–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Aberystwyth Town – last 4

LWLL

8 Aug	vs Treowen Stars	1–2	L
1 Aug	@ Afan Lido	5–2	W
1 Mar	vs Caerau (Ely)	0–4	L
24 Feb	@ Ammanford AFC	1–2	L

1.8Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

75%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?

On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aberystwyth Town 45%.

How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our predicted score is Ynyshir Albions 1–1 Aberystwyth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?

Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ynyshir Albions v Aberystwyth Town: numbers & prediction