Carmarthen Town 63%Draw 21%Llantwit Major 16%Expected goals 2.60 – 1.33
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceCarmarthen Town or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 2 October: Carmarthen Town v Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship, played at Richmond Park. In the table, Carmarthen Town are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Carmarthen Town, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Baglan Dragons, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Llantwit Major, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over llanelli AFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Carmarthen Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Llantwit Major.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carmarthen Town 2.6 xG, Llantwit Major 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carmarthen Town 63%, draw 21%, Llantwit Major 16%.
Lower-risk option: Carmarthen Town or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carmarthen Town 2–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carmarthen Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Llantwit Major16%fair 6.09 · @4.60
3.93Expected goals
2.60Carmarthen Town xG
1.33Llantwit Major xG
65%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 2.6 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
Carmarthen Town or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Carmarthen Town (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Carmarthen Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Carmarthen Town to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Carmarthen Town ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Carmarthen Town – last 6
WDLDLW
25 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
14 Aug
vs Afan Lido
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 6
WDLLLL
26 Sep
vs llanelli AFC
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Treowen Stars
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Aberystwyth Town
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Afan Lido
0–5
L
1 Aug
vs Swansea University
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llantwit Major 16%.
How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Carmarthen Town 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major?
Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
