llanelli AFC 33%Draw 21%Baglan Dragons 46%Expected goals 1.25 – 1.53
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultBaglan Dragons to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.01
llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baglan Dragons travel to face llanelli AFC on Friday 2 October in the FAW Championship, with Stebonheath Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Baglan Dragons are 5th (upper half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Llantwit Major, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Baglan Dragons, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Carmarthen Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Baglan Dragons, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for llanelli AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.2 xG, Baglan Dragons 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 33%, draw 21%, Baglan Dragons 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–1 Baglan Dragons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
llanelli AFC33%fair 3.03 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Baglan Dragons46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.25llanelli AFC xG
1.53Baglan Dragons xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.2 – 1.5 Baglan Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baglan Dragons to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Draw no bet
Baglan Dragons (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
llanelli AFC +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Baglan Dragons to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baglan Dragons / FT Baglan Dragons✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLDL
26 Sep
@ Llantwit Major
0–2
L
11 Sep
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–3
L
4 Sep
vs Treowen Stars
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Aberystwyth Town
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Carmarthen Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Cardiff Draconians
2–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Baglan Dragons – last 6
LLWLWW
25 Sep
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Afan Lido
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Caerphilly Athletic
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Baglan Dragons.
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Baglan Dragons 46%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–1 Baglan Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
