Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceCaerau (Ely) or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caerau (Ely) welcome Afan Lido for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 2 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Caerau (Ely) are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Afan Lido are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Caerau (Ely), last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cardiff Draconians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Afan Lido, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Newport City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Caerau (Ely), collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Afan Lido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caerau (Ely) 2.6 xG, Afan Lido 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caerau (Ely) 65%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 14%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Afan Lido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caerau (Ely)65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.60
Afan Lido14%fair 7.24 · @5.50
3.82Expected goals
2.60Caerau (Ely) xG
1.22Afan Lido xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Caerau (Ely) 2.6 – 1.2 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caerau (Ely) to win✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Caerau (Ely) or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.57
Draw no bet
Caerau (Ely) (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Caerau (Ely) -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Caerau (Ely) to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Caerau (Ely) ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely)✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Caerau (Ely) – last 6
WWWLLW
26 Sep
@ Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
11 Sep
vs llanelli AFC
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Baglan Dragons
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Swansea University
1–5
L
14 Aug
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Afan Lido – last 6
DWLDLW
25 Sep
vs Newport City
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Pontypridd Town
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
2–5
L
21 Aug
vs Pontardawe Town
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caerau (Ely) and Afan Lido.
What is the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers Caerau (Ely) have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Afan Lido 14%.
How many goals will there be in Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Our predicted score is Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Afan Lido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
