Changwon City 31%Draw 26%Gimhae City 43%Expected goals 1.45 – 1.40
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Changwon City to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimhae City to win ✓43% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Changwon City vs Gimhae City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 15 July: Changwon City v Gimhae City in the FA Cup.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chuncheon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Gimhae City, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cheonan City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Changwon City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Gimhae City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.5 xG, Gimhae City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 31%, draw 26%, Gimhae City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Changwon City to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Gimhae City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City31%fair 3.24 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Gimhae City43%fair 2.33 · @1.91
2.85Expected goals
1.45Changwon City xG
1.40Gimhae City xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.5 – 1.4 Gimhae City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimhae City to win✓
43%
2.33
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
Gimhae City (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Gimhae City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 6
DWDDWW
12 Jul
vs Chuncheon
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Geumsan Insam
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Yeoju Sejong
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Mokpo City
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Dangjin Citizen
2–1
W
30 May
@ Gangneung City
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimhae City – last 6
WLDLWL
10 Jul
@ Cheonan City
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
5 Jun
@ Seongnam FC
1–1
D
30 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–2
L
23 May
@ Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
17 May
vs Daegu FC
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Gimhae City.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Gimhae City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Changwon City vs Gimhae City?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimhae City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Gimhae City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Gimhae City?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Gimhae City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Gimhae City?
Changwon City vs Gimhae City (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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