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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paju Citizen v Gangneung City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · South-Korea

Paju Citizen

WLLLD
3–2
FT

Gangneung City

LWLLW
Paju Citizen 50%Draw 27%Gangneung City 23% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.87
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaju Citizen to win ✓50% · @1.65
Double chancePaju Citizen or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 15 July the FA Cup brings Paju Citizen against Gangneung City. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Paju Citizen, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hwaseong, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Gangneung City, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mokpo City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 1.2 xG, Gangneung City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 50%, draw 27%, Gangneung City 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paju Citizen or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 1–1 Gangneung City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paju Citizen50%fair 1.99 · @1.65
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.40
Gangneung City23%fair 4.38 · @4.80
2.09Expected goals
1.22Paju Citizen xG
0.87Gangneung City xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.2 – 0.9 Gangneung City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaju Citizen to win ✓50%1.991.65
Double chancePaju Citizen or draw ✓77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.70
Draw no betPaju Citizen (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapGangneung City +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.07–
First team to scorePaju Citizen to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

Paju Citizen – last 6

WLLLDL
11 Jul@ Hwaseong2–1W
4 Julvs Yongin City0–1L
30 May@ Busan I Park1–4L
25 Mayvs Gimpo Citizen0–1L
3 Mayvs Cheongju0–0D
25 Aprvs Gyeongnam FC2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gangneung City – last 6

LWLLWL
11 Jul@ Mokpo City1–2L
4 Julvs Jecheon Citizen2–0W
28 Jun@ Dangjin Citizen2–5L
21 Jun@ Pocheon1–3L
6 Jun@ Ulsan Citizen2–1W
30 Mayvs Changwon City0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Gangneung City.

Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

FT Jeonnam Dragons3 Asan Mugunghwa4 131%2.70X25%3.10244%2.40 1.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.67 ✓
FT Ansan Greeners0 Jinju Citizen2 146%1.65X23%3.70231%4.33 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.57 ✗
FT Changwon City1 Gimhae City5 131%3.50X26%3.20243%1.91 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.62 ✓
FT Daegu FC0 Siheung Citizen1 152%1.70X25%3.40223%4.40 1.4–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.70 ✗
FT Hwaseong4 Yangpyeong3 166%1.44X21%3.80213%6.50 3.1–1.5xG 1Hwaseong to win 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Seongnam FC1 Pocheon1 AET 2–1 146%1.75X26%3.30228%4.20 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.75 ✓
FT Ulsan Citizen2 Seoul E-Land FC2 AET 4–2 121%4.80X27%3.40253%1.65 1.1–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.73 ✓
FT Yongin City0 Dangjin Citizen2 149%1.70X25%3.40226%4.40 1.4–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gangneung City 23%.

How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Gangneung City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?

Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.