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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hwaseong v Yangpyeong: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · South-Korea
4–3
FT
Hwaseong 66%Draw 21%Yangpyeong 13% Expected goals 3.11 – 1.48
66%
Betarazi pick

Hwaseong to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultHwaseong to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.28

Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hwaseong welcome Yangpyeong for a FA Cup fixture on Wednesday 15 July (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Hwaseong, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paju Citizen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Yangpyeong, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Jeonbuk Motors II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hwaseong, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Yangpyeong.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hwaseong 3.1 xG, Yangpyeong 1.5 xG – a total near 4.6. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hwaseong 66%, draw 21%, Yangpyeong 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hwaseong to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hwaseong 3–1 Yangpyeong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hwaseong66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Yangpyeong13%fair 7.54 · @6.50
4.59Expected goals
3.11Hwaseong xG
1.48Yangpyeong xG
57%Both score
84%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%

From our goals model: Hwaseong 3.1 – 1.5 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHwaseong to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓87%1.151.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.85 ▲
Draw no betHwaseong (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapHwaseong -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗51%1.94–
First team to scoreHwaseong to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultHwaseong ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%13.28–

Recent results

Hwaseong – last 6

LLWWWD
11 Julvs Paju Citizen1–2L
6 Junvs Suwon Bluewings1–2L
31 Mayvs Gyeongnam FC2–0W
23 May@ Cheongju3–2W
17 Mayvs Busan I Park3–2W
9 Mayvs Suwon City FC1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yangpyeong – last 6

WDDLDL
12 Julvs Jeonbuk Motors II5–2W
4 Jul@ Ulsan FC1–1D
27 Jun@ Chuncheon3–3D
20 Junvs Yeoju Sejong1–2L
7 Jun@ Mokpo City0–0D
30 May@ Dangjin Citizen1–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Yangpyeong.

Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

Our pick is Hwaseong to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

On our numbers Hwaseong have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yangpyeong 13%.

How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

Our predicted score is Hwaseong 3–1 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.

When is Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.