Tapatío 36%Draw 20%CA La Paz 44%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.73
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Tapatío vs CA La Paz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tapatío welcome CA La Paz to Estadio Akron for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 10 October (00:00 WAT). In the table, Tapatío are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; CA La Paz are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tapatío, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cancún, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
CA La Paz, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Venados FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Tapatío.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapatío 1.6 xG, CA La Paz 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapatío 36%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 44%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapatío 1–1 CA La Paz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapatío36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
CA La Paz44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
3.29Expected goals
1.56Tapatío xG
1.73CA La Paz xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.6 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
CA La Paz (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Tapatío +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
CA La Paz to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Tapatío – last 6
LWLLDW
4 Oct
@ Cancún
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Tlaxcala
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Dorados
1–3
L
7 Sep
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–3
L
28 Aug
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 6
LWWDWW
3 Oct
vs Venados FC
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Leones Negros UDG
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cancún
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CA La Paz 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs CA La Paz?
Tapatío vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
