Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonarcas to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Tepatitlán vs Monarcas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Liga De Expansión MX brings Tepatitlán against Monarcas. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; Monarcas are 3rd (among the top four) with 26. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CDS Tampico Madero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Monarcas, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tlaxcala, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Monarcas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Tepatitlán.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Monarcas 3–2 Tepatitlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.0 xG, Monarcas 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 13%, draw 22%, Monarcas 64%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monarcas to win (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–2 Monarcas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán13%fair 7.48 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.40
Monarcas64%fair 1.56 · @1.40
3.33Expected goals
1.02Tepatitlán xG
2.31Monarcas xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.0 – 2.3 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monarcas 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–2 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
Tepatitlán vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
