Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Tlaxcala to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTlaxcala to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tlaxcala welcome Correcaminos Uat to Estadio Tlahuicole for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 25 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Tlaxcala are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Tlaxcala, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CA La Paz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Correcaminos Uat, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dorados, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tlaxcala, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Correcaminos Uat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tlaxcala 2.3 xG, Correcaminos Uat 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tlaxcala 59%, draw 17%, Correcaminos Uat 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Tlaxcala to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tlaxcala 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tlaxcala59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @3.60
Correcaminos Uat24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
3.65Expected goals
2.27Tlaxcala xG
1.38Correcaminos Uat xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 2.3 – 1.4 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tlaxcala to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Tlaxcala (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Correcaminos Uat +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
First team to score
Tlaxcala to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Tlaxcala ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tlaxcala / FT Tlaxcala✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Tlaxcala – last 6
DWDWLW
17 Oct
@ CA La Paz
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Piratas
4–2
W
4 Oct
@ Monarcas
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Cancún
4–1
W
21 Sep
@ Tapatío
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs CDS Tampico Madero
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LLDWLD
17 Oct
vs Dorados
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ CA La Paz
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Cancún
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tlaxcala and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Correcaminos Uat 24%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
