Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Dorados vs Piratas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piratas travel to face Dorados on Sunday 25 October in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio El Encanto the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Dorados are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 15 matches; Piratas are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Dorados, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Correcaminos Uat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Piratas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tepatitlán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Piratas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Dorados.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dorados 1.0 xG, Piratas 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dorados 14%, draw 23%, Piratas 62%.
Lower-risk option: Piratas or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Piratas or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dorados 0–2 Piratas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dorados14%fair 6.90 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
Piratas62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
3.15Expected goals
0.99Dorados xG
2.16Piratas xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Dorados 1.0 – 2.2 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Double chance
Piratas or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Piratas (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Piratas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Piratas to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Piratas ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Dorados – last 6
WLLLDD
17 Oct
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Leones Negros UDG
3–6
L
27 Sep
vs Durango
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Cancún
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piratas – last 6
WLWLWD
18 Oct
vs Tepatitlán
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Tlaxcala
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
25 Sep
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorados and Piratas.
Our pick is Piratas or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dorados vs Piratas?
On our numbers Dorados have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piratas 62%.
How many goals will there be in Dorados vs Piratas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dorados vs Piratas?
Our predicted score is Dorados 0–2 Piratas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Dorados vs Piratas?
Dorados vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Encanto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
