Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones Negros UDG travel to face Mineros de Zacatecas on Sunday 25 October in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Leones Negros UDG are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cruz Azul Hidalgo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Leones Negros UDG, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alebrijes de Oaxaca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Zacatecas 2.3 xG, Leones Negros UDG 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Zacatecas 55%, draw 21%, Leones Negros UDG 24%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Leones Negros UDG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Zacatecas55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Leones Negros UDG24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
3.73Expected goals
2.27Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.46Leones Negros UDG xG
64%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 2.3 – 1.5 Leones Negros UDG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Mineros de Zacatecas (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Leones Negros UDG +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
First team to score
Mineros de Zacatecas to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Mineros de Zacatecas ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6
LDLWWL
17 Oct
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Cancún
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Durango
2–4
L
25 Sep
vs Piratas
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Tepatitlán
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Monarcas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leones Negros UDG – last 6
LDWWLD
18 Oct
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Venados FC
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Dorados
6–3
W
26 Sep
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs CA La Paz
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros UDG.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones Negros UDG 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 2–1 Leones Negros UDG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
