Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hamrun Spartans welcome Balzan FC to Centenary Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 21 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Balzan FC are 10th with 14.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gzira United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Balzan FC, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zabbar St. Patrick, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hamrun Spartans, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Balzan FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.7 xG, Balzan FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 58%, draw 21%, Balzan FC 22%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hamrun Spartans to win (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.20
Balzan FC22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.74Hamrun Spartans xG
0.95Balzan FC xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.7 – 0.9 Balzan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Hamrun Spartans (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Balzan FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Hamrun Spartans to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
DDWWWD
18 Oct
@ Gzira United
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Hibernians
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
4–1
W
11 Sep
@ Birzebbuga
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Floriana
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Balzan FC – last 6
LDDDWW
17 Oct
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Floriana
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Valletta FC
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Birzebbuga
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Gzira United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Balzan FC.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Balzan FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Balzan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?
Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
