Mosta 21%Draw 19%Valletta FC 60%Expected goals 1.09 – 2.04
60%
Betarazi pick
Valletta FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValletta FC to win ✓60% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Mosta vs Valletta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valletta FC travel to face Mosta on Wednesday 21 October in the Premier League, with Tony Bezzina Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Mosta are 9th on 15 points after 12 matches; Valletta FC are 1st with 25.
Current form
Mosta, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Floriana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Valletta FC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sliema Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valletta FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Mosta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mosta 1.1 xG, Valletta FC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mosta 21%, draw 19%, Valletta FC 60%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valletta FC to win (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mosta 1–2 Valletta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mosta21%fair 4.84 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Valletta FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.53
3.13Expected goals
1.09Mosta xG
2.04Valletta FC xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mosta 1.1 – 2.0 Valletta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valletta FC to win✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Valletta FC (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Mosta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Valletta FC to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Valletta FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valletta FC / FT Valletta FC✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Mosta – last 6
DDDLDW
18 Oct
@ Floriana
3–3
D
14 Oct
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Birzebbuga
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valletta FC – last 6
WWWDWW
17 Oct
vs Sliema Wanderers
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Birkirkara
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Birzebbuga
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Balzan FC
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Floriana
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Hibernians
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosta and Valletta FC.
Our pick is Valletta FC to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mosta vs Valletta FC?
On our numbers Mosta have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valletta FC 60%.
How many goals will there be in Mosta vs Valletta FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosta vs Valletta FC?
Our predicted score is Mosta 1–2 Valletta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mosta vs Valletta FC?
Mosta vs Valletta FC (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
