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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zabbar St. Patrick v Sliema Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Centenary Stadium
Zabbar St. Patrick 13%Draw 24%Sliema Wanderers 63% Expected goals 0.68 – 1.76
87%
Betarazi pick

Sliema Wanderers or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Sliema Wanderers to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceSliema Wanderers or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 21 October the Premier League brings Zabbar St. Patrick against Sliema Wanderers at Centenary Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th on 15 points after 12 matches; Sliema Wanderers are 3rd with 21.

Current form

Zabbar St. Patrick, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Balzan FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sliema Wanderers, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valletta FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sliema Wanderers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Zabbar St. Patrick 1–1 Sliema Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 xG, Sliema Wanderers 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zabbar St. Patrick 13%, draw 24%, Sliema Wanderers 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sliema Wanderers or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Sliema Wanderers to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sliema Wanderers or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Sliema Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zabbar St. Patrick13%fair 7.49 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Sliema Wanderers63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
2.44Expected goals
0.68Zabbar St. Patrick xG
1.76Sliema Wanderers xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%

From our goals model: Zabbar St. Patrick 0.7 – 1.8 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSliema Wanderers to win ✓63%1.601.83 ▲
Double chanceSliema Wanderers or draw ✓87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.83
Draw no betSliema Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapSliema Wanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreSliema Wanderers to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultSliema Wanderers ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

Zabbar St. Patrick – last 6

WLLDLD
17 Oct@ Balzan FC2–1W
10 Oct@ Marsaxlokk1–2L
18 Sepvs Birkirkara0–2L
14 Sep@ Gzira United0–0D
6 Sepvs Hamrun Spartans1–2L
28 Aug@ Hibernians1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sliema Wanderers – last 6

LDDWWW
17 Oct@ Valletta FC1–2L
11 Octvs Gzira United1–1D
20 Sep@ Balzan FC0–0D
13 Sep@ Mosta3–1W
6 Sepvs Birkirkara2–1W
30 Aug@ Birzebbuga2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Zabbar St. Patrick v Sliema Wanderers1–1
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our pick is Sliema Wanderers or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

On our numbers Zabbar St. Patrick have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sliema Wanderers 63%.

How many goals will there be in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Zabbar St. Patrick 0–1 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers?

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.