Heaton Stannington v Gateshead Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGateshead to win ✗50% · @1.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.78

Heaton Stannington vs Gateshead: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Heaton Stannington welcome Gateshead for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 11 July (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Gateshead, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Blyth Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heaton Stannington 1.9 xG, Gateshead 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Heaton Stannington 29%, draw 21%, Gateshead 50%.
Price worth noting: Heaton Stannington to win @4.50 – the bookmaker implies 22%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heaton Stannington 1–2 Gateshead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heaton Stannington29%fair 3.43 · @4.50

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @5.75

Gateshead50%fair 2.00 · @1.40

3.74Expected goals

1.86Heaton Stannington xG

1.89Gateshead xG

58%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

1–35%

3–15%

From our goals model: Heaton Stannington 1.9 – 1.9 Gateshead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Heaton Stannington	Gateshead
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average	-11%	+9%
Goals conceded vs average	-8%	+9%
Our expected goals here	1.37	0.93

Heaton Stannington

Gateshead

Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average

-11%

+9%

Goals conceded vs average

-8%

+9%

Our expected goals here

1.37

0.93

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gateshead to win ✗	50%	2.00	1.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.26	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	–
Draw no bet	Gateshead (draw no bet)	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	Heaton Stannington +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	69%	1.44	1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.94	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
First team to score	Gateshead to score first ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	35%	2.88	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gateshead / FT Gateshead ✗	24%	4.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.78	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Gateshead to win ✗

50%

2.00

1.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

79%

1.26

1.10

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

58%

1.72

–

Draw no bet

Gateshead (draw no bet)

63%

1.58

–

Asian handicap

Heaton Stannington +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

60%

1.66

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

89%

1.13

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

69%

1.44

1.40

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✗

51%

1.94

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

68%

1.47

–

First team to score

Gateshead to score first ✗

49%

2.03

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

35%

2.88

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Gateshead / FT Gateshead ✗

24%

4.14

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

12.78

–

7 Jul	@ Blyth Town	6–0	W
6 Apr	vs Scunthorpe	2–0	W
3 Apr	@ Carlisle	0–0	D
24 Mar	vs York	3–1	W
17 Mar	vs Wealdstone	1–0	W
10 Mar	@ Southend	1–1	D

Heaton Stannington v Gateshead: numbers & prediction