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PEC Zwolle v AEK Athens FC: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT
PEC Zwolle 20%Draw 22%AEK Athens FC 58% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.87
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓58% · @1.68
Double chanceAEK Athens FC or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13

PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: PEC Zwolle v AEK Athens FC in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

PEC Zwolle, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cercle Brugge, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

AEK Athens FC, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Groningen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AEK Athens FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for PEC Zwolle.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PEC Zwolle 1.1 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PEC Zwolle 20%, draw 22%, AEK Athens FC 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: AEK Athens FC or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEC Zwolle 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PEC Zwolle20%fair 4.90 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.75
AEK Athens FC58%fair 1.73 · @1.68
2.96Expected goals
1.09PEC Zwolle xG
1.87AEK Athens FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.1 – 1.9 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-4%+14%
Goals conceded vs average+8%-22%
Our expected goals here1.301.99

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Athens FC to win ✓58%1.731.68
Double chanceAEK Athens FC or draw ✓80%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.53
Draw no betAEK Athens FC (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapPEC Zwolle +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreAEK Athens FC to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultAEK Athens FC ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC ✓35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

PEC Zwolle – last 6

WLLWLD
18 Julvs Cercle Brugge3–2W
11 Julvs Al-Jazira0–1L
17 Mayvs Feyenoord0–2L
3 Mayvs Heracles1–0W
23 Apr@ PSV Eindhoven1–6L
12 Aprvs Excelsior2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AEK Athens FC – last 6

WDWDDW
18 Jul@ Groningen2–1W
15 Jul@ Vitesse0–0D
12 Jul@ De Graafschap2–1W
17 Mayvs Olympiakos Piraeus1–1D
13 May@ PAOK1–1D
19 Aprvs PAOK3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and AEK Athens FC.

PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC?

On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AEK Athens FC 58%.

How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC?

Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC?

PEC Zwolle vs AEK Athens FC (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.