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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Napoli v Carrarese: numbers & prediction

Napoli

LWWLW
2–0
FT
Napoli 68%Draw 19%Carrarese 12% Expected goals 2.39 – 0.99
68%
Betarazi pick

Napoli to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultNapoli to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Napoli vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Napoli welcome Carrarese for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Sunday 26 July (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Napoli, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arezzo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Carrarese, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Virtus Entella, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 2.4 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 68%, draw 19%, Carrarese 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Napoli to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 2–0 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Napoli68%fair 1.46 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @5.75
Carrarese12%fair 8.00 · @7.80
3.38Expected goals
2.39Napoli xG
0.99Carrarese xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Napoli 2.4 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NapoliCarrarese
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+19%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-10%
Our expected goals here1.920.84

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNapoli to win ✓68%1.461.30
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.57
Draw no betNapoli (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapNapoli -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.901.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.401.38
First team to scoreNapoli to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultNapoli ahead at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Napoli / FT Napoli ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Napoli – last 6

LWWLWW
22 Julvs Arezzo1–3L
24 Mayvs Udinese1–0W
17 May@ Pisa3–0W
11 Mayvs Bologna2–3L
24 Aprvs Cremonese4–0W
6 Aprvs AC Milan1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Carrarese – last 6

LDDWWW
8 May@ Virtus Entella1–2L
1 Mayvs Cesena0–0D
19 Aprvs Pescara2–2D
6 Aprvs Spezia3–1W
22 Mar@ Bari3–0W
18 Marvs Sampdoria2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Carrarese.

Napoli vs Carrarese head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Carrarese?

Our pick is Napoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Napoli vs Carrarese?

On our numbers Napoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Carrarese 12%.

How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Carrarese?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Carrarese?

Our predicted score is Napoli 2–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Napoli vs Carrarese?

Napoli vs Carrarese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.