Napoli vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Napoli welcome Carrarese for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Sunday 26 July (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Napoli, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arezzo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Carrarese, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Virtus Entella, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 2.4 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 68%, draw 19%, Carrarese 12%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Napoli to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 2–0 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli68%fair 1.46 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @5.75
Carrarese12%fair 8.00 · @7.80
3.38Expected goals
2.39Napoli xG
0.99Carrarese xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Napoli 2.4 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Napoli
Carrarese
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+19%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.92
0.84
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Napoli -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
First team to score
Napoli to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–3
L
24 May
vs Udinese
1–0
W
17 May
@ Pisa
3–0
W
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
LDDWWW
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Carrarese.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Napoli vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Napoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Carrarese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Carrarese?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Napoli 2–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Carrarese?
Napoli vs Carrarese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.