Value bet: SV Meppen to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSV Meppen to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach travel to face SV Meppen on Saturday 15 August in the 3. Liga, with Hansch-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, SV Meppen are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
SV Meppen, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to MSV Duisburg, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fortuna Köln, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SV Meppen 1.3 xG, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SV Meppen 45%, draw 22%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: SV Meppen to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Meppen 1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SV Meppen45%fair 2.23 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach33%fair 3.06 · @2.60
2.39Expected goals
1.32SV Meppen xG
1.07SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: SV Meppen 1.3 – 1.1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Meppen to win✓
45%
2.23
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.60
Draw no bet
SV Meppen (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.14
First team to score
SV Meppen to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Meppen / FT SV Meppen✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
SV Meppen – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Aug
@ MSV Duisburg
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Schalke 04 II
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
10 Jul
@ SSV Jeddeloh
4–1
W
8 May
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
2–1
W
2 Apr
@ Schöningen
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – last 6
WLDWWW
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Köln
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs SV Darmstadt 98
2–7
L
21 Jul
@ VfR Aalen
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Hoffenheim II
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Bissingen
7–0
W
8 Jul
vs CFR Pforzheim
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Meppen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
What is the prediction for SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
On our numbers SV Meppen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33%.
How many goals will there be in SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
Our predicted score is SV Meppen 1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
SV Meppen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hansch-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
