Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceRot-Weiß Essen or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.14
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Havelse travel to face Rot-Weiß Essen on Saturday 15 August in the 3. Liga, with Stadion Essen the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Havelse are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to FC Saarbrücken, away. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Havelse, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Stuttgart II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 3.3 xG, Havelse 1.6 xG – a total near 4.9. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 66%, draw 21%, Havelse 13%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 Havelse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen66%fair 1.52 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @5.50
Havelse13%fair 7.79 · @7.40
4.89Expected goals
3.25Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.63Havelse xG
69%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–25%
4–25%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 3.3 – 1.6 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Double chance
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.48
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Rot-Weiß Essen -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.77 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.45
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
14.14
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
LLLLWW
9 Aug
@ FC Saarbrücken
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Ried
0–3
L
11 Jul
vs SW Essen
5–1
W
4 Jul
@ Bottrop
11–0
W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Havelse – last 6
LLDLWW
8 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Hannover 96 II
1–3
L
19 Jul
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Atlas Delmenhorst
3–2
W
10 May
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and Havelse.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Havelse 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Essen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
