Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 3. Liga brings Fortuna Düsseldorf against MSV Duisburg at Merkur Spiel-Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Fortuna Düsseldorf are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortuna Düsseldorf, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fortuna Köln, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
MSV Duisburg, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SSV Jahn Regensburg, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours MSV Duisburg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.2 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Düsseldorf 33%, draw 22%, MSV Duisburg 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
MSV Duisburg45%fair 2.20 · @2.25
2.63Expected goals
1.18Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
1.45MSV Duisburg xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.2 – 1.4 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
45%
2.20
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
MSV Duisburg (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Fortuna Düsseldorf +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
MSV Duisburg to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Sep
@ Fortuna Köln
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Hoffenheim II
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WWLWWD
5 Sep
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Würzburger Kickers
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Verl
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs SV Meppen
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and MSV Duisburg 45%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
