Value bet: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Saarbrücken to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.23
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Ingolstadt 04 travel to face FC Saarbrücken on Saturday 12 September in the 3. Liga, with Ludwigspark Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, FC Saarbrücken are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Saarbrücken, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over SV Meppen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Alemannia Aachen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Saarbrücken, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended FC Saarbrücken 1–0 FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Saarbrücken 2.1 xG, FC Ingolstadt 04 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Saarbrücken 43%, draw 20%, FC Ingolstadt 04 37%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Saarbrücken43%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
FC Ingolstadt 0437%fair 2.67 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
2.07FC Saarbrücken xG
1.93FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 2.1 – 1.9 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Ingolstadt 04 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
