Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: SV Meppen to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVerl to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.68
Verl vs SV Meppen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 3. Liga brings Verl against SV Meppen at Sportclub Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Verl are 17th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; SV Meppen are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Verl, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Waldhof Mannheim, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SV Meppen, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to FC Saarbrücken, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours SV Meppen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Verl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Verl 1.9 xG, SV Meppen 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Verl 41%, draw 21%, SV Meppen 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: SV Meppen to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Verl 1–1 SV Meppen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Verl41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
SV Meppen38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
3.75Expected goals
1.91Verl xG
1.84SV Meppen xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Verl 1.9 – 1.8 SV Meppen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Verl to win✓
41%
2.45
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Draw no bet
Verl (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
SV Meppen +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Verl to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Verl / FT Verl✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Verl – last 6
WLLLLL
5 Sep
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Fortuna Köln
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs MSV Duisburg
2–4
L
9 Aug
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ RB Leipzig
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SV Meppen – last 6
LWWLWW
5 Sep
vs FC Saarbrücken
1–6
L
29 Aug
@ Alemannia Aachen
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ MSV Duisburg
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Schalke 04 II
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Verl and SV Meppen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Verl vs SV Meppen?
On our numbers Verl have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SV Meppen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Verl vs SV Meppen?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Verl vs SV Meppen?
Our predicted score is Verl 1–1 SV Meppen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Verl vs SV Meppen?
Verl vs SV Meppen (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportclub Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
