Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultOriental to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Uruguay Montevideo welcome Oriental for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 12 July (13:00 WAT). In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Oriental, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CA River Plate, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Oriental, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Uruguay Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 xG, Oriental 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 31%, draw 27%, Oriental 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uruguay Montevideo31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Oriental41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
2.37Expected goals
1.08Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.29Oriental xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 – 1.3 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
Attack vs Segunda División average
-21%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.28
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oriental to win✗
41%
2.41
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Oriental (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Oriental to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oriental / FT Oriental✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Uruguay Montevideo – last 6
LWLLLW
6 Jul
@ Colón
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Fenix
3–2
W
21 Jun
@ Rentistas
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Miramar
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
30 May
vs Plaza Colonia
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oriental – last 6
LDDWDW
5 Jul
vs CA River Plate
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Colón
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Fenix
2–2
D
14 Jun
vs Rentistas
3–0
W
8 Jun
@ Miramar
2–2
D
1 Jun
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uruguay Montevideo and Oriental.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oriental 41%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
