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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerrito v Miramar: numbers & prediction

Cerrito

DWLLW
1–0
FT

Miramar

DWLWD
Cerrito 44%Draw 27%Miramar 29% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.00
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerrito to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Cerrito vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Segunda División brings Cerrito against Miramar. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Cerrito, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tacuarembo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Miramar, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atenas, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.4 xG, Miramar 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 44%, draw 27%, Miramar 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerrito44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
Miramar29%fair 3.44 · @3.10
2.41Expected goals
1.41Cerrito xG
1.00Miramar xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Cerrito 1.4 – 1.0 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CerritoMiramar
Attack vs Segunda División average+2%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-4%+2%
Our expected goals here1.360.85

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerrito to win ✓44%2.272.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.80
Draw no betCerrito (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapMiramar +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCerrito to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerrito / FT Cerrito ✓27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

Cerrito – last 6

DWLLWW
5 Jul@ Tacuarembo0–0D
28 Junvs Plaza Colonia1–0W
21 Jun@ La Luz0–2L
14 Jun@ CA River Plate4–6L
7 Junvs Atenas2–1W
30 May@ Paysandu1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Miramar – last 6

DWLWDW
6 Julvs Atenas1–1D
27 Jun@ Paysandu3–2W
19 Junvs Sportivo Huracan0–1L
13 Jun@ Uruguay Montevideo3–1W
8 Junvs Oriental2–2D
30 May@ Colón3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Miramar.

Cerrito vs Miramar head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Miramar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cerrito vs Miramar?

On our numbers Cerrito have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Miramar 29%.

How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Miramar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Miramar?

Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cerrito vs Miramar?

Cerrito vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.