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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atenas v Rentistas: numbers & prediction

Atenas

DWWWL
1–3
FT
Atenas 38%Draw 28%Rentistas 35% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.11
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtenas to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Atenas vs Rentistas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rentistas travel to face Atenas on Sunday 12 July in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Rentistas are 2nd (among the top four) with 40.

Current form

Atenas, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Miramar, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rentistas, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atenas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Rentistas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.2 xG, Rentistas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 38%, draw 28%, Rentistas 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 Rentistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atenas38%fair 2.64 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Rentistas35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
2.33Expected goals
1.23Atenas xG
1.11Rentistas xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 1.1 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AtenasRentistas
Attack vs Segunda División average+3%+21%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-9%
Our expected goals here1.221.03

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtenas to win ✗38%2.642.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.85
Draw no betAtenas (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapRentistas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAtenas to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atenas / FT Atenas ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Atenas – last 6

DWWWLW
6 Jul@ Miramar1–1D
27 Junvs Tacuarembo2–0W
20 Jun@ Plaza Colonia2–1W
14 Junvs La Luz4–0W
7 Jun@ Cerrito1–2L
31 May@ CA River Plate2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rentistas – last 6

LWWLLD
4 Julvs Paysandu1–2L
27 Jun@ Sportivo Huracan2–1W
21 Junvs Uruguay Montevideo1–0W
14 Jun@ Oriental0–3L
7 Junvs Colón0–2L
31 May@ Fenix1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Rentistas.

Atenas vs Rentistas head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atenas vs Rentistas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atenas vs Rentistas?

On our numbers Atenas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rentistas 35%.

How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Rentistas?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Rentistas?

Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atenas vs Rentistas?

Atenas vs Rentistas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.