Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✓51% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Altrincham vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Altrincham v Southend in the National League, played at Moss Lane. In the table, Altrincham are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Altrincham, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manchester United U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Southend, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Aveley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altrincham 1.5 xG, Southend 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altrincham 26%, draw 24%, Southend 51%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altrincham 1–1 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altrincham26%fair 3.88 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Southend51%fair 1.98 · @1.68
3.39Expected goals
1.51Altrincham xG
1.89Southend xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Altrincham 1.5 – 1.9 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Altrincham
Southend
Attack vs National League average
+0%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.92
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
51%
1.98
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Altrincham +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Southend to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Altrincham – last 6
WLDDLL
31 Jul
vs Manchester United U21
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Macclesfield
2–5
L
21 Jul
@ Chorley
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ York
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WDLDLL
1 Aug
vs Aveley
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Northampton
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs West Ham
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Cambridge United
1–2
L
28 Apr
@ Scunthorpe
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and Southend.
What is the prediction for Altrincham vs Southend?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altrincham vs Southend?
On our numbers Altrincham have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southend 51%.
How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs Southend?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–1 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Altrincham vs Southend?
Altrincham vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
