Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✗58% · @1.53
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✗80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Carlisle vs Worthing: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Worthing travel to face Carlisle on Saturday 8 August in the National League, with Brunton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Carlisle are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Worthing are 6th (upper half) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Carlisle, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Derby County U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Worthing, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Horsham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Worthing, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Carlisle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 2.1 xG, Worthing 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 58%, draw 22%, Worthing 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 2–1 Worthing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.10
Worthing20%fair 5.06 · @5.10
3.33Expected goals
2.06Carlisle xG
1.26Worthing xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.1 – 1.3 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Carlisle
Worthing
Attack vs National League average
+21%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+0%
Our expected goals here
2.11
1.46
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Worthing +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Carlisle – last 6
WLWDDD
1 Aug
@ Derby County U21
3–0
W
28 Jul
vs Salford City
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Darlington 1883
4–2
W
3 May
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Morecambe
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Gateshead
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
WDWDDW
1 Aug
vs Horsham
3–0
W
24 Jul
@ Enfield Town
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Queens Park Rangers U21
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Frome Town
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ AFC Bournemouth U21
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Selsey
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Worthing.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carlisle vs Worthing?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Worthing 20%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Worthing?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Worthing?
Carlisle vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
