AFC Fylde 61%Draw 25%Worthing 15%Expected goals 2.46 – 1.24
85%
Betarazi pick
AFC Fylde or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Fylde to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Fylde to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceAFC Fylde or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
AFC Fylde vs Worthing: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: AFC Fylde v Worthing in the National League, played at Mill Farm. In the table, AFC Fylde are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Worthing are 6th (upper half) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Fylde, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Solihull Moors, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Worthing, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Boreham Wood, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Fylde, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Worthing.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Fylde 2.5 xG, Worthing 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Fylde 61%, draw 25%, Worthing 15%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Fylde or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: AFC Fylde to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AFC Fylde or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Fylde 2–1 Worthing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Fylde61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.80
Worthing15%fair 6.83 · @3.80
3.70Expected goals
2.46AFC Fylde xG
1.24Worthing xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 2.5 – 1.2 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Fylde to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
AFC Fylde or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
AFC Fylde (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
AFC Fylde -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
AFC Fylde to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
AFC Fylde ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
AFC Fylde – last 6
WWLWDL
31 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
28 Aug
vs Forest Green
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Woking
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Wealdstone
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Rylands
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Aug
vs Boreham Wood
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Wealdstone
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs West Ham United U21
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Forest Green
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Carlisle
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and Worthing.
Our pick is AFC Fylde or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Worthing 15%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 2–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Fylde vs Worthing?
AFC Fylde vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
