Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarrow to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Barrow vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the National League brings Barrow against Sutton Utd at Holker Street. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Barrow are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Sutton Utd are 11th (upper half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kidderminster Harriers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sutton Utd, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wealdstone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sutton Utd, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Barrow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.2 xG, Sutton Utd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 40%, draw 23%, Sutton Utd 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sutton Utd to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–1 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Sutton Utd37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.23Barrow xG
1.17Sutton Utd xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.2 – 1.2 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✓
40%
2.50
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Sutton Utd +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Barrow to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✓
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
DLDLLW
31 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Morecambe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
LWWDWW
31 Aug
vs Wealdstone
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Gateshead
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Leicester City U21
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Altrincham
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Woking
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Sutton Utd.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Barrow have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutton Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Sutton Utd?
Barrow vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
