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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tamworth v Boston United: numbers & prediction

National League · England · The Lamb Ground
2–2
FT
Tamworth 43%Draw 21%Boston United 36% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.71
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Boston United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTamworth to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Tamworth vs Boston United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tamworth welcome Boston United to The Lamb Ground for a National League fixture on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Tamworth are 20th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Boston United are 19th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tamworth, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Yeovil Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Boston United, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Boston United 0–0 Tamworth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tamworth 1.9 xG, Boston United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tamworth 43%, draw 21%, Boston United 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Boston United to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tamworth 1–1 Boston United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tamworth43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Boston United36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.60Expected goals
1.89Tamworth xG
1.71Boston United xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Tamworth 1.9 – 1.7 Boston United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTamworth to win ✗43%2.322.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.50
Draw no betTamworth (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapBoston United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
First team to scoreTamworth to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tamworth / FT Tamworth ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

Tamworth – last 6

LWLWLD
31 Aug@ Yeovil Town2–3L
28 Augvs Worthing3–2W
22 Aug@ FC Halifax Town1–4L
18 Augvs Newcastle United U215–3W
15 Augvs AFC Fylde1–2L
8 Aug@ Boreham Wood3–3D
2.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Boston United – last 6

LLWLWL
31 Augvs AFC Hornchurch2–3L
27 Aug@ Boreham Wood1–2L
22 Augvs Altrincham1–0W
18 Augvs Birmingham City U212–3L
15 Aug@ Solihull Moors2–0W
8 Augvs Aldershot Town0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Boston United v Tamworth0–0
Tamworth vs Boston United head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Boston United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tamworth vs Boston United?

On our numbers Tamworth have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Boston United 36%.

How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Boston United?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Boston United?

Our predicted score is Tamworth 1–1 Boston United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Tamworth vs Boston United?

Tamworth vs Boston United (National League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.