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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Solihull Moors v Barrow: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Damson Park
1–0
FT

Barrow

DWDLD
Solihull Moors 33%Draw 21%Barrow 45% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.82
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Barrow to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBarrow to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Solihull Moors vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Solihull Moors welcome Barrow to Damson Park for a National League fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Solihull Moors are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Barrow are 9th (upper half) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Solihull Moors, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aldershot Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Barrow, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Worthing, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Barrow, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Solihull Moors.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Solihull Moors 1.5 xG, Barrow 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Solihull Moors 33%, draw 21%, Barrow 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Barrow to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Solihull Moors 1–1 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Solihull Moors33%fair 3.01 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Barrow45%fair 2.21 · @2.38
3.36Expected goals
1.54Solihull Moors xG
1.82Barrow xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Solihull Moors 1.5 – 1.8 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarrow to win ✗45%2.212.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.60
Draw no betBarrow (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapSolihull Moors +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreBarrow to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barrow / FT Barrow ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Solihull Moors – last 6

LLDLLL
12 Sepvs Aldershot Town1–2L
8 Sepvs Leeds United U212–3L
5 Sep@ Gateshead1–1D
31 Augvs AFC Fylde1–3L
28 Aug@ Scunthorpe1–3L
22 Augvs Southend1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Barrow – last 6

DWDLDL
12 Sep@ Worthing2–2D
5 Sepvs Sutton Utd3–0W
31 Aug@ Kidderminster Harriers1–1D
28 Augvs Yeovil Town1–2L
22 Aug@ Harrogate Town2–2D
15 Augvs AFC Hornchurch1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Solihull Moors and Barrow.

Solihull Moors vs Barrow head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Solihull Moors vs Barrow?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Solihull Moors vs Barrow?

On our numbers Solihull Moors have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barrow 45%.

How many goals will there be in Solihull Moors vs Barrow?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Solihull Moors vs Barrow?

Our predicted score is Solihull Moors 1–1 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Solihull Moors vs Barrow?

Solihull Moors vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Damson Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.