Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Southend vs Tamworth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tamworth travel to face Southend on Tuesday 15 September in the National League, with Roots Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Southend are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Tamworth are 20th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Southend, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Carlisle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tamworth, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Harrogate Town, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Southend, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Tamworth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.6 xG, Tamworth 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 62%, draw 19%, Tamworth 19%.
Lower-risk option: Southend or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–1 Tamworth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southend62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Tamworth19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
4.00Expected goals
2.58Southend xG
1.42Tamworth xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Southend 2.6 – 1.4 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Southend -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Southend to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Southend – last 6
DWDLWW
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Kidderminster Harriers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
LLDLWL
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Boston United
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Worthing
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Tamworth.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Southend vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Southend have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tamworth 19%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Tamworth?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Tamworth?
Southend vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
