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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Worthing v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Sussex Transport Community Stadium
1–0
FT
Worthing 44%Draw 21%AFC Hornchurch 35% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.61
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultWorthing to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 15 September the National League brings Worthing against AFC Hornchurch at Sussex Transport Community Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Worthing are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; AFC Hornchurch are 15th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Worthing, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barrow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Halifax Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AFC Hornchurch, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Worthing.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Worthing 1.8 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Worthing 44%, draw 21%, AFC Hornchurch 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Worthing 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Worthing44%fair 2.29 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
AFC Hornchurch35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
3.43Expected goals
1.82Worthing xG
1.61AFC Hornchurch xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%

From our goals model: Worthing 1.8 – 1.6 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWorthing to win ✓44%2.292.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.50
Draw no betWorthing (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapAFC Hornchurch +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreWorthing to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Worthing / FT Worthing ✓26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Worthing – last 6

DDDLLW
12 Sepvs Barrow2–2D
8 Sepvs Norwich City U210–0D
5 Sep@ AFC Fylde2–2D
31 Augvs Boreham Wood2–3L
28 Aug@ Tamworth2–3L
22 Augvs Wealdstone1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

LWLWWL
12 Sep@ FC Halifax Town0–3L
8 Sepvs Ipswich Town U213–0W
5 Sepvs Forest Green0–1L
31 Aug@ Boston United3–2W
28 Augvs Woking1–0W
22 Aug@ Carlisle1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Worthing and AFC Hornchurch.

Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers Worthing have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Hornchurch 35%.

How many goals will there be in Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is Worthing 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch?

Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.