AFC Fylde 46%Draw 20%Carlisle 34%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.64
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Fylde to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Fylde to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the National League brings AFC Fylde against Carlisle at Mill Farm. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, AFC Fylde are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Carlisle are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Fylde, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boston United, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Carlisle, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Woking, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Fylde, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Carlisle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Fylde 1.9 xG, Carlisle 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Fylde 46%, draw 20%, Carlisle 34%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: AFC Fylde to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Fylde 1–1 Carlisle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Fylde46%fair 2.19 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Carlisle34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
3.55Expected goals
1.91AFC Fylde xG
1.64Carlisle xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 1.9 – 1.6 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Fylde to win✗
46%
2.19
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Draw no bet
AFC Fylde (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Carlisle +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
First team to score
AFC Fylde to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
AFC Fylde – last 6
WLWWDW
26 Sep
@ Boston United
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Altrincham
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Yeovil Town
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Worthing
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Carlisle – last 6
LLDDLW
26 Sep
vs Woking
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ Eastleigh
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Southend
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and Carlisle.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carlisle 34%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 1–1 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is AFC Fylde vs Carlisle?
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
