Hartlepool 20%Draw 18%Harrogate Town 62%Expected goals 1.10 – 2.10
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the National League brings Hartlepool against Harrogate Town at Victoria Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Harrogate Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Scunthorpe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Harrogate Town, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Eastleigh, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.1 xG, Harrogate Town 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 20%, draw 18%, Harrogate Town 62%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–2 Harrogate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool20%fair 4.94 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.50
Harrogate Town62%fair 1.63 · @1.91
3.20Expected goals
1.10Hartlepool xG
2.10Harrogate Town xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.1 – 2.1 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✓
62%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Draw no bet
Harrogate Town (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Harrogate Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Harrogate Town to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Worthing
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Sep
vs Eastleigh
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Harrogate Town 62%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–2 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town?
Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
