AFC Hornchurch 40%Draw 21%Aldershot Town 39%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.22
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Aldershot Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.51
AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: AFC Hornchurch v Aldershot Town in the National League, played at Hornchurch Stadium. In the table, AFC Hornchurch are 15th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Aldershot Town are 14th (lower half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Hornchurch, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Altrincham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aldershot Town, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Tamworth, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aldershot Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for AFC Hornchurch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Hornchurch 1.2 xG, Aldershot Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Hornchurch 40%, draw 21%, Aldershot Town 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Aldershot Town to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Hornchurch40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Aldershot Town39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.23AFC Hornchurch xG
1.22Aldershot Town xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 1.2 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win✓
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
AFC Hornchurch (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Aldershot Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
AFC Hornchurch to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
LWLLWL
26 Sep
@ Altrincham
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Worthing
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–3
L
8 Sep
vs Ipswich Town U21
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Forest Green
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aldershot Town – last 6
WLDWLW
26 Sep
vs Tamworth
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Barrow
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham United U21
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Halifax Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Aldershot Town.
What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aldershot Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town?
AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
