Gateshead vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the National League brings Gateshead against Barrow at Gateshead International Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Gateshead are 24th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 15 matches; Barrow are 9th (upper half) with 25. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gateshead, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stoke City U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Barrow, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gillingham, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Barrow, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Gateshead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gateshead 0.9 xG, Barrow 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gateshead 17%, draw 21%, Barrow 62%.
Lower-risk option: Barrow or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gateshead 0–2 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gateshead17%fair 6.03 · @5.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.33
Barrow62%fair 1.60 · @1.48
2.87Expected goals
0.90Gateshead xG
1.97Barrow xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Gateshead 0.9 – 2.0 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gateshead
Barrow
Attack vs National League average
-41%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-16%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.94
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win
62%
1.60
1.48
Double chance
Barrow or draw
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Barrow -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Barrow to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Barrow ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Gateshead – last 6
WLLLDD
3 Nov
vs Stoke City U21
3–1
W
31 Oct
@ Aldershot Town
0–1
L
27 Oct
@ Boston United
1–2
L
20 Oct
@ Stafford Rangers
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Stafford Rangers
1–1
D
13 Oct
vs Wolves U21
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barrow – last 6
WDWWDW
7 Nov
@ Gillingham
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Eastleigh
1–1
D
27 Oct
@ FC Halifax Town
3–2
W
20 Oct
@ Gloucester City
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Gloucester City
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Tamworth
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Barrow.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gateshead vs Barrow?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barrow 62%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Barrow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Gateshead 0–2 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gateshead vs Barrow?
Gateshead vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
