AFC Hornchurch 39%Draw 24%Tamworth 38%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.52
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Hornchurch to win39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.76
AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Hornchurch welcome Tamworth to Hornchurch Stadium for a National League fixture on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, AFC Hornchurch are 15th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Tamworth are 20th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
AFC Hornchurch, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Blackpool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tamworth, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Everton U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Hornchurch 1.6 xG, Tamworth 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Hornchurch 39%, draw 24%, Tamworth 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Tamworth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Hornchurch39%fair 2.58 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Tamworth38%fair 2.66 · @2.55
3.09Expected goals
1.56AFC Hornchurch xG
1.52Tamworth xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.6 – 1.5 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Hornchurch
Tamworth
Attack vs National League average
-21%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.50
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win
39%
2.58
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
AFC Hornchurch (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Tamworth +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
AFC Hornchurch to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
DWLLLW
7 Nov
vs Blackpool
1–1
D
3 Nov
vs West Ham United U21
2–0
W
30 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
1–3
L
27 Oct
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Hartlepool
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Uxbridge
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
LLWLLW
3 Nov
vs Everton U21
2–3
L
31 Oct
vs Woking
0–1
L
27 Oct
vs Scunthorpe
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Carlisle
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Barrow
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Leeds United U21
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth.
What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?
On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tamworth 38%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth?
AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
