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Hartlepool v Wealdstone: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Victoria Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Hartlepool 43%Draw 24%Wealdstone 33% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.44
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultHartlepool to win43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.26

Hartlepool vs Wealdstone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the National League brings Hartlepool against Wealdstone at Victoria Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Wealdstone are 18th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hartlepool, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leeds United U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Wealdstone, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dover, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wealdstone, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Hartlepool.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Wealdstone 7–0 Hartlepool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.6 xG, Wealdstone 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 43%, draw 24%, Wealdstone 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 Wealdstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartlepool43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.50
Wealdstone33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
3.08Expected goals
1.63Hartlepool xG
1.44Wealdstone xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.6 – 1.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HartlepoolWealdstone
Attack vs National League average-14%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+13%
Our expected goals here1.691.53

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartlepool to win43%2.332.05
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.551.57
Draw no betHartlepool (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapWealdstone +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.241.17
First team to scoreHartlepool to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.26–

Recent results

Hartlepool – last 6

WLLWLL
3 Novvs Leeds United U213–1W
31 Oct@ Boreham Wood3–4L
27 Oct@ AFC Fylde1–3L
24 Octvs AFC Hornchurch2–1W
17 Octvs Marine0–2L
13 Octvs Newcastle United U211–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wealdstone – last 6

LDWLWW
7 Nov@ Dover0–2L
3 Novvs Derby County U212–2D
31 Octvs Southend3–2W
27 Octvs Solihull Moors2–3L
24 Oct@ Aldershot Town1–0W
20 Octvs Nottingham Forest U211–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026Wealdstone v Hartlepool7–0
Hartlepool vs Wealdstone head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

On our numbers Hartlepool have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wealdstone 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hartlepool vs Wealdstone?

Hartlepool vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.