Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.56
Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Esenler Erokspor v Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig, played at Esenler Stadium. In the table, Esenler Erokspor are 10th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Mardin 1969 are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Esenler Erokspor, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manisa F.K., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mardin 1969, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fatih Karagümrük, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mardin 1969, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Esenler Erokspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esenler Erokspor 1.0 xG, Mardin 1969 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esenler Erokspor 44%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Mardin 1969 to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Mardin 1969. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esenler Erokspor44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Mardin 196933%fair 3.07 · @3.70
1.75Expected goals
0.98Esenler Erokspor xG
0.77Mardin 1969 xG
51%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.0 – 0.8 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✓
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.70
Draw no bet
Esenler Erokspor (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Mardin 1969 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Esenler Erokspor to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.56
–
Recent results
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
DWLDLD
15 Oct
@ Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Fatih Karagümrük
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Bursaspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–3
L
3 Sep
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WWLLWD
15 Oct
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bursaspor
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mardin 1969 33%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969?
Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
