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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manisa F.K. v Muğlaspor: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Manisa 19 Mayis
3–4
FT
Manisa F.K. 41%Draw 23%Muğlaspor 37% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.24
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultManisa F.K. to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Muğlaspor travel to face Manisa F.K. on Monday 19 October in the 1. Lig, with Manisa 19 Mayis the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Manisa F.K. are 17th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Muğlaspor are 11th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Manisa F.K., last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Esenler Erokspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Muğlaspor, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bursaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Muğlaspor, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Manisa F.K..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manisa F.K. 1.3 xG, Muğlaspor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manisa F.K. 41%, draw 23%, Muğlaspor 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Muğlaspor to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manisa F.K. 1–1 Muğlaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manisa F.K.41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Muğlaspor37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
2.55Expected goals
1.31Manisa F.K. xG
1.24Muğlaspor xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Manisa F.K. 1.3 – 1.2 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManisa F.K. to win ✗41%2.472.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.67
Draw no betManisa F.K. (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapMuğlaspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreManisa F.K. to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manisa F.K. / FT Manisa F.K. ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.01–

Recent results

Manisa F.K. – last 6

DLLDLL
15 Octvs Esenler Erokspor1–1D
10 Oct@ Kayserispor2–3L
20 Sepvs İstanbulspor0–1L
13 Sep@ Fatih Karagümrük1–1D
7 Sepvs Bursaspor1–2L
3 Sep@ Iğdır FK2–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Muğlaspor – last 6

LDDDDW
15 Octvs Bursaspor0–3L
11 Oct@ Fatih Karagümrük1–1D
18 Sepvs Iğdır FK2–2D
13 Sep@ Sivasspor1–1D
6 Sepvs Vanspor FK2–2D
1 Sep@ Ümraniyespor1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor.

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?

On our numbers Manisa F.K. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Muğlaspor 37%.

How many goals will there be in Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?

Our predicted score is Manisa F.K. 1–1 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor?

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Manisa 19 Mayis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.